The UK government has increased its response to COVID-19 Monday, citizens who ask any unnecessary contact with others to cut after a British research group warned its first strategy would lead to hundreds of thousands of deaths. But the researchers also gave a sobering warning for countries around the world implement blocking measures: To be effective, they would have to take 12 to 18 months. Monday ‘evening, the prime minister Boris Johnson has announced many as an abrupt shift in its strategy of the government, the new combat crown. Where it says before the British authorities as normal life continued more or less, and even isolation for a week when symptoms appear, the entire population will stop now to see friends and family, asking avoid public places such as bars and restaurants and self-isolated for 14 if anyone in their house days a cough or fever. A member of the White House Task Force also cited by British researchers in modeling, obviously the Kaiser, as a US report announced a strengthening of its social distancing rules on Monday. Although the measures in Italy, France and Spain, the Johnson ad imposed just before the stage of forced quarantine led the British patent more in line with the international response crown after a week in which the country seemed to opt for a single strategy. On Friday, the chief scientific advisor to the government said that they have no delay restrictions on travel and socializing, the virus would circulate among the healthy members of the population; their impact would those be reduced with insulation symptoms so that the British people to develop something “herd immunity”. That sparked a game of some immunologists and epidemiologists, the strategy would have argued consequences “serious.” It is updated here with our daily newsletter crown. Those concerns were in new modeling the various social distancing approaches both in the British patent NATO and the United States, released Monday by the London Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, which advises the British government. In both countries, the researchers found that the type of limited social distancing that British Patent Implementation had – a “mitigation” approach – health systems exceed the maximum capacity, many times in the UK, 250,000 people have been dying by the virus .. in the US, the number would be 1.1 to 1,200,000. The report concludes that a “suppression” approach, strict for all and quarantined for families with victims of the virus include social distancing “is the only viable strategy at this time.” This is the approach that China and a growing number of European countries are already underway. But the report’s authors warn a “great challenge” in connection with the suppression approach. It “must be maintained – at least temporarily – until viruses circulating in the human population, or until a vaccine is available. In the case of COVID-19, will take at least 12-18 months, until a vaccine is available. “a study of a vaccine began his first stop on Monday in the US, but those who work brings reiterated that 12- 18 months is the likely time period for public use, if all goes well. Experts say that governments are beginning to recognize only the length of time for blocking measures needed to work. “This was about in countries like Italy, for example, very Unspoken”, says Elizabeth Gropelli, virologist and professor of global health at the St. George University of London. “Once you start the isolation, how do you decide when to stop? Once you go in, if you come from?” So far, many of the social contacts are measures that countries have announced initially envisaged for a period of several weeks. In Italy, schools and universities are closed and travel without a special permit until April in the Netherlands, schools, restaurants and gyms are all 3 to 6 April, to 30 days, the President of the European Union not closed banned proposes travel ban on non-essential to the block. It ‘very likely that some of these measures extended at least. “People think at a minimum of weeks should be to months, depending on how it goes, it can be longer, primary” is the British patent said new restrictions of his country. In China, where he started at the end of December crown strict quarantine measures have allowed the city to reduce the spread dramatically coincide country with the number of new cases each day more than 3,000 in February only 16 on Monday. But health officials fear that if most people begin to leave their homes and start normally, stirring rapidly the virus begins to spread again. The Imperial report warns that if the “intensive” strategies are aligned to suppress not U.K. and taking the United States “the transmission will recover quickly, can produce an epidemic comparable in size, any intervention would have seen what has been accepted.” The authors of the report say that social distancing measures for a short period of time may be relaxed, but would be reinstated “if or when the recovery of hospital admissions.” However, there is reason to hope that the measures should not be so hard for the whole period. The report says that the suppression strategies evolve over time as possible if the virus can be controlled. For example, if a country is able to control the spread of the virus and the workload with blocking measures to reduce, it could set up those demanding contact tracing and quarantine measures, as currently used in South Korea, where more were tested of 270,000 people. South Korea, the beginning of March was the worst outbreak outside of China, was able to slow the rate of new infections without block-style introduce measures. Instead led to large-scale testing and patients aggressively pursued contacts through their movements through their transactions by credit card and the use of the country’s monitoring cell phone – as well as surveillance cameras spread – that those who were in able to isolate at risk. A campaign of transparent information has helped people to stay away from high-risk neighborhoods takeaway and other measures to protect themselves. Aris Katzourakis, professor of evolution and genomics at the University of Oxford, says that the aggressive actions of social distancing now the British patent “Buying time” could implement and other countries at the end of high-tech monitoring and tracking. But first, he says countries have to reduce the spread of the virus to slow down to reduce the reproductive number of a pandemic – the number of people that every person who has the virus, its rated current infect- average between 2 and 2.5 only 1 “When you get things under control, with many targeted surveillance are ways locally relax restrictions and to a certain degree of asset returns,” says Katzourakis. “[But] it will never be the same until there is a cure or a vaccine., Return to normal ‘is simply not something that we should expect to see a long, long time.” Please send any suggestions, cables and [email protected] stories.