The new coronavirus pandemic is a crisis for all countries. But in Venezuela, it could be a disaster. COVID-19 arrival in Venezuela, with 42 cases reported since March 14, is six years into the worst economic crisis in modern history. The economy must be greater than 65% decline from 2013 have three Venezuelans not sufficient nutritional food requirements. The doctors in the health system crippled the country lack basic supplies, such as gloves and running water. As a result of all this, experts say the death toll in Venezuela probably much higher than the estimated global average will be 3%. For one things worse, a war of oil prices and fears of a global recession have pushed the price of oil this week – what makes of Venezuela’s exports 98% of income – on a low 18 years of $24 a barrel, less than half of what it was in February. The situation is an “unprecedented challenge” for Nicolás Maduro, the authoritarian leader who has clung to power in 2014, Diego Moya Ocampos, principal analyst says Markit Americas at risk of IHS consultancy. Maduro has its position last year, with the help of unwavering support security forces cemented to see the parliamentary leader of which 50 in most Western countries Venezuela legitimate president acknowledged at the beginning of 2019. The man who occupied the time of the Presidential Palace is like a challenge by Juan Guaidó, scrambling to respond to new crises. As the number of confirmed cases COVID-19 30 crowned on March 16 he ordered a quarantine at the national level for controlling the stop spread. move in a shock the next day, he turned a loan of $5 billion from the International Monetary Fund, an institution Socialist Party has railed against the clock. The IMF refused immediately, saying that “there is no clarity on the international recognition [],” Maduro regime. The coming weeks and months will likely be a volatile time for Venezuela. If the humanitarian crisis pushes the country more to become a failed state on the road? Or you could possibly overthrow the Maduro regime? Here’s what to know about how the Crown could affect the country and its leadership: the doctors because they are concerned about the crown in Venezuela? Since both the spread and the crown mortality rate likely than elsewhere to be poor in Venezuela, according to Kathleen Page, professor of medicine and infectious diseases at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore and director of Latin America at the Johns Hopkins Center, specialized for Clinical Global Health Education. Although Maduro earlier imposed a quarantine in his debut as European countries, says the page can not be sure it will be successful. “Even with an authoritarian government, there is only so much to be able to impose a place like Venezuela, where – unlike China lockdown – people who can not survive long in their homes,” he said. Local media reported that people, including the elderly, the break from work at higher risk viruses, quarantine or food. “Maduro does not deliver the food to my house,” a 68-year-old told the News of the progressive collapse site has left Venezuela cronica.uno water system that many homes without running water, in particular, represents a serious threat to its ability to contain the crown. People are forced to return home regularly to leave the water, possibly on water trucks or Save congregating. Lack of access to water will also accelerate the spread of the disease, making people not leave their hands to be able to wash regularly, health officials say it is a key line of defense against the virus. Once people are sick, they may not be able to hospitals much to do to help, as the short-health system liquid suffer severe shortage of basic necessities. Even now, the lack of vaccines has led to the resurgence of preventable diseases such as malaria and measles. Where are affected in the United States and other developed countries, about a possible lack of fan, needed treatment for severe cases of COVID-19, two-thirds of the doctors in Venezuela say they have no gloves, soaps, masks, goggles or scrub, according local NGO Medicos Unidos. Only a quarter have reliable running water. “For those who are seriously ill, it is difficult for me to imagine, given the current situation is that going to a hospital, it is still better to do,” says Page. “I fear that Venezuela has one of the highest mortality rates in the world of this disease.” Fears of Venezuela susceptibility to COVID-19 could create a new wave of people trying required to leave the country – after almost 4.5 million, which they did in 2015, encounter new obstacles. Both Colombia and Brazil have their limits with Venezuela closed to people in an attempt to slow the spread of the virus. It is the Venezuelan economy for the crown and a drop in oil prices has prepared? No. An economic crisis, led by mismanagement, corruption, earlier fall in oil prices and the impact of sanctions has already left us, the Venezuelan economy in tatters. The annual turnover of the fee has fallen below $2 billion. As the country’s largest oil reserves world, last year saw the “implosion” of the oil industry, says Raul Gallegos, director for the Andean region to the Risk Management and author of crude Country: Venezuela as oil Riches destroyed. Graft and mismanagement are largely charged with a 70% drop in production of about 700,000 barrels of oil a day Maduro was able to reduce some of the damage, with a series of pragmatic moves. 2019 He relaxed exchange controls and restrictions on imports to breathe a bit ‘in the economy life. The increase for the elite standard of living, the dollar has access to places like the capital, Caracas. In the oil sector, the regime has stabilized decline implicitly assign a greater operational control of foreign companies, including Chevron, Chinese and Russian units. But the new COVID-19 shock and the fall in oil prices is likely to bring a stop to the slightly improved. The economic rate of about 13% for the year 2020 had been contracted, according to Oxford Economics forecasts, compared with a decrease of 40% in 2019. “It would not be surprising if we were reaching these values this year,” he says Gallegos. “It will certainly be rough.” What will it mean for the Maduro regime? For Gallegos, the most likely outcome of this crisis will be a crackdown on dissent by the security forces. quarantine measures may be justified to prevent the people gathered for anti-government protests. On March 19, the National Guard has put a doctor who spoke about the poor conditions in his hospital under house arrest, the “hate and fear” accused him under incitement Community. “The government, a new level of control in this crisis to win, Gallegos,” he said, “The freedoms that lose the Venezuelan people, who will not be back anytime soon.” However, the regime will Maduro in a broader sense, probably some of his control of Venezuela. According to investigators at Insight crime organized crime groups have grown exponentially in recent years. The embattled government illegal industry has allowed to buy including drug trafficking and illegal gold mining to prosper support for the elite and institutions, including the military. The more the government pressure – dry as oil revenues and social crises grow – most bands and Colombian rebel groups that perform these illegal activities they say security analysts. non-governmental groups also exercise control of the territory in some parts of the country. Any chance of a return to democracy? It is unlikely. The support of powerful Venezuelan military has Maduro survival office means ruin of his country’s crucial. Analysts and opposition word that at the higher benefit from a vast network of corruption that reinforce the status quo job. Until this continued support, Maduro will remain in force unveiled as its operating lever in its field and the oil industry. But things are moving fast – and possible Maduro could still lose military support, according to Moya-Ocampos, the risk analyst. Maduro appealed unsuccessfully to the IMF suggests that China and Russia, its main international donors are private to be enormously helpful, rejection, he says. “If the military indicates that there is no financial opposition to the table are both internationally.” If they stage a takeover, it would be its long anticipated window of opportunity, the chance to give opposition leader and aspiring Interim President Juan Guaido to make new elections. to take measures for the military, but it would require a “trigger” – and it will probably be celebrating anything. “We are talking about huge losses to the crown, the collapse of the health system, and increasing unrest in the form of looting,” said Moya-Ocampos. “If the military is, it is not driven by altruistic efforts to restore democracy. It will be a matter of survival.” image copyright of the images Roman Camacho SOPA / Rocket Light / Getty Images
Can the regime Crown Nicolas Maduro Falls in Venezuela?
