Election Day is serving about four months away, but Donald Trump seems the chairmanship of Joe Biden as a well-done steak with ketchup. Biden has an impressive 14 national open point lead in the latest poll New York Times / Siena, including a lead of 22 points among women, and lead to 33 points with moderates. He solid majority of black voters and young people built while cutting Trump prevailed with white voters and the elderly. board Biden is getting bigger swings in key states: It leads by an average of 8 points in Wisconsin and Michigan, 6 points in Pennsylvania and Florida and 4 points in Arizona. And he seems to be ready in Iowa, Ohio and North Carolina, one of which won everything Trump in 2016 to compete And ‘unusual that the challenger at this stage to be a clear favorite for the presidency in the elections. Only three candidates have a sitting president since Franklin D. Roosevelt defeated Herbert Hoover in 1932, beat, and the last time, each candidate has had such a big lead at this stage of the race, was campaigning for re-election Bill Clinton nearly 25 years ago. The only thing that is even more remarkable Bidens advantage of how little he had to do to get it. “Trump becomes increasingly served for him,” said the Democratic strategist Jess Morales Rocketto. “All you have to do is nothing.” Since the end of the February events in favor of Biden conspired. First, they parted the seas to Biden in the Democratic primary, giving it a political comeback almost unprecedented: after a single victory widely expected in South Carolina, the party gathered around her sputtering campaign for the appointment of Bernie Sanders thwart, since then, Biden has escaped from a president in a well-funded office, without many new important proposals unveiling policies without a military base knocking on doors for him, and without the enormous personal that most of the candidates at this point are in the countryside. Almost she did not make news, and rarely dominate the national conversation. Biden has mainly allowed the country to focus on Trump, who is stuck in a flask by himself, has dominated the response to the twin crises bungling the US attention: the pandemic crown and the recognition of the legacy of racial injustice to the nation. No candidate in recent memory has so few done so well. The Biden campaign says his leadership team in place is proof of Bidens political force. “One of my favorite sayings about him is that he is the happiest person in the world, but not about luck,” said former Senator Ted Kaufman, one of the closest advisers of Biden. “Happiness is elected to the Senate when 29 lucky when he survived the aneurysm,” says Kaufman, referring to the health risks of Biden. “This is more about being the right person for the right time.” In 2019, few thought Biden as a game for the moment. Many thought he was too old to centrist uninspiring to drive a party that has appeared in a young, progressive, revolutionary state of mind to be. But times have changed, although Biden did not. And luckily for him, the crisis of recent months Biden activities, such as continuity, experience and empathy have accentuated. “People do not have a pitcher bomb needs, do not need an ideological warriors, they just want to wake up and know that everything is in order and do not have a pit in your stomach when you open the newspaper or turn on the news. And this it is something that Joe Biden “Lis Smith, the right arm said Biden primary rival Pete Buttigieg. “The things that meant the man, his greatest weakness would end up being his greatest strengths.” Although the circumstances Bidens more opportunities, its leadership team in place is no accident. In interviews with the times more than half a dozen Democratic strategists have supported his campaign on Trump error capitalization was wise. “I think you make your own luck,” said the strategist progressive Rebecca Katz. “They had a plan: sit back and let Trump dig the hole, and every time Trump seems increasingly unhinged more, Biden cut just sit back and be a normal person. That seems the Americans move dramatically”. But 2,020 have so far yielded the Biden campaign with much work events of the year. Biden was lucky that the party so was to win the nomination of Sanders afraid that have closed ranks to his campaign for only one primary victory. But he was also smart to focus on a unifying message to avoid disputes approvals by Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, and reaching out to the progressive wing of the party within the party bitterness that flooded 2016: video endorsement friendly with Biden showed Sanders personal warmth between the two men, and continued his task force of the campaign for progressives in some of its policy of giving voice. Things looked dim to come out for the primary Biden. The presumptive Democratic candidate has entered the general election with little money and infrastructure to define weak campaign, establish a digital advantage and pile of money on ads Biden before he had even time in key government personnel. Then came COVID-19 that set Trump at home on the defensive Biden and block. Experts have predicted the inability to Biden’s listening campaign events, that would hurt. But again, he leaned Biden, now in his favor. The quarantine actually gave his campaign a crucial time to build a digital strategy, interviews with the media is doing in swing states, and raises the money that they have to take on Trump in the autumn, without spending for travel or place . “The conventional wisdom was, ‘He screwed it will do as he is going to compete with the presidential bully pulpit’?” Says Smith. “The fact that a global pandemic really a challenger may have violated and made it extremely difficult to compete for them, but I think they handled it well.” Meanwhile, the response Trump in a time of crisis was the gift that kept, has mishandled the pandemic is destroying the economy to the ground and has already caused more than 120,000 American Life failed to show the public empathy and undercuts its management of public health messaging in every corner. More recently, he has inflamed racial tensions during the national police violence investigation and systemic racism. Only 37% of Americans believe Trump is good pandemic management, while only a third of the electorate thinks in battleground states according to a Reuters / Ipsos poll Trump is managing race relations and the protests of the right path. “What might Joe Biden might say,” said Joel Benenson, a top strategist former for President Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, “would help but concentrate picked up by a man from every day in a nosedive is?” While Trump in his attempts atomized and waved to handle the crown, Biden rolled his plan to rebuild the economy, the good behavior of public health modeled wearing a mask when he went out, and delivered the size of a wrenching speech of his recognition of the headquarters American defeat against the disease. As Trump racial tensions in the aftermath of the death of George Floyd turned on, he said Biden offered by the family of Floyd remarks at his funeral, kneeling protesters and delivered against a well-preserved address the legacy of racial injustice and brutality address needs American police blacks. The Biden campaign rejects the idea that his leadership was built on luck. “With a global pandemic use, economic collapse and ethnic unrest is not a fluke,” the spokesman said Biden Matt Hill. “People are in pain. They have lost their jobs and their loved ones. And you are looking for an experienced leader and compassionate that can unite, heal and move this country forward. While the press and experts who have been waiting for, we won the nomination of the party to consolidate and reinforce put us in condition for Trump defeat Joe Biden had the right message for this historic moment for as long as we are in a battle for the soul of the nation. “the old adage says that it better is good luck. But it seems that Biden could be both. Picture copyright by Joshua Roberts-Getty Images
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