to facilitate governments Weigh lockdowns As Crown. Leaving young adults out first option could be

Because European countries in weeks of hard measures to regulate the distribution COVID-19 to limit starting governments to plan ways out of their lockdowns. Austria and Denmark have both announced an easing of restrictions, by opening small shops and primary schools. Researchers in Britain have presented the government with a different proposal, under which up to 30 young people aged before their homes would be allowed to leave 20 and was brought down to work once again that the rate of infection under control in the next few months their parents and boss -leaving stuck at home. A research paper by economists at the University of Warwick published this week claimed that the 20-30 group would be at relatively low risk of severe cases of COVID-19 when it begins to pay once again the workforce, and a little ‘breathing life back in the economy. It also shows that 20 to 30 years of age, the economic impact of the stay on the block feel stronger than older adults. if the proposal provides that only the young workers in the private sector do not live with their parents or any older adults would let block a group that 4.2 million people in the UK (Much includes the public sector, including workers made public service workers and health care continued to function normally.) the proposal is reviewed by the British government officials, according to the Financial Times. The idea is controversial. Epidemiologists agree that until a vaccine for the virus is not for 12-18 months-a loosening of the prohibition measures would be likely to increase the spread and the budget of the expected emerges- virus victims. The scientists say more work is needed to determine the effects of different ways of alleviating lockdowns.But governments with painful economic consequences confront their actions on the model, the pressure can be found on the options that allow some activity in the coming months restart, or at least before the end of the year. “There’s no risk-free out of our current situation,” says Andrew J Oswald, an author of the paper Warwick. “So we look for a solution that brings the economic objectives and epidemiological objectives online. The young fit quite natural that the bill” Here’s what to know about the idea of ​​relaxing activities for the youngest -. And the other possible ways of blocking. What to publish the business case for previous youth? The United Kingdom was like a block under national measures Europe imposed in many countries on the continent since 24 March Only essential workers are allowed to leave their homes for work, and only the children of such workers allowed to go to school. Most people are only allowed to leave their homes for short periods of exercise or buying food or medicine to go. The meetings in public for more than two people are forbidden. Oswald claimed that while the entire population of English means “serious economic risk” of these measures are young are likely to be particularly affected by a looming recession. “They are the lowest income age group,” he says, and are difficult to secure savings or income that seniors and pensioners with no support to go forward as possible for the job. “They may have on their career path at the beginning of their career, and this [lockdown] period long-term adverse effects.” The 4.2 million 20-30 years of age, one-sixth of the United Kingdom would allow the Work Force job change a kind of create “mini-business,” stated Oswald. Young workers in line with their supervisors and senior colleagues can communicate, and at the same time to start contributing new activity companies. This would allow young people to earn a living, and the spread of prosperity to other demographics. How would the release of influencing young people from the block to control the spread of the virus? Although young people with a 19-COVID lower rate of dying like the elderly, who are not immune to the virus. The Warwick paper argues that allows 20 to 30 years, to return to work, he would stay home while the add-elderly “to a reasonably small but not negligible” risk to human health more for the public in the United Kingdom. He suggests that the number of additional premature deaths caused by youth of the release would be 630. The number is based on the current average rate of COVID-19 mortality for this age group, 0.03%, a rate of about 50 % infection, and the number of people in the media in the UK, 4.2 million. But the purpose of the people in the age group 20-30 on isolation precautions in the first place, including not protect them, says Liam Smeeth, professor of clinical epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. “The point is to reduce the rates of transmission for the virus in society as a whole, and it would be increased in any case, if young people to leave the isolation.” Katzourakis Aris, Professor of Genomics and Evolution at the University of Oxford, says the 630 figure does not take into account the effect of the rate of infection of potential rate increases. Although the proposal provides only 20-30 years of age who are not living with their parents in the workforce, Katzourakis says there is “no way” to do this without increasing the exposure of elderly people with the virus. “When you leave the house every day to go to work and come back, you will increase your contact with other people, and to increase the people who come into contact their contacts with other people too, and so on, It ‘true that’ impact could be limited. But that is not yet understood. “Although young people tend not as hard hit by COVID-19 Katzourakis says there are indications are that they do it could spread more than older demographics. Because young people more likely to have fewer symptoms, they are less likely to be aware that carry the virus. However Katzourakis says that young people can also be the first groups to be released from blocking measures in the long run. “I guess that’s probably what [U.K.] government will end up doing. But we need very tight monitoring systems track to ensure that we can see how it affects on infection rates.” For the virus test would need large scale carried out, and people systems pursue the contacts would be present, he says. “If proved to be a calculation error and got out of hand, I would return to a square.” What other ways are there to lockdowns? There is none will be sudden, wholesale order with the latest changes in company says Smeeth imposed. “It’s going to have to be a gradual gradual process in any way.” There are a number of options for what would look for such a process. Governments in several European countries, including Britain, who have the idea of ​​”immunity passports”, floating, people who had already COVID-19 and have the antibodies would still allow the isolation allowed to protect against the contract. But scientists say there are big obstacles to that system, including the lack of generally available tests for the presence of antibodies and the remains unresolved, for how long, if at all immunity against the virus takes. Other options to facilitate discussed block include lifting measurements in geographic regions where there have been few cases, or a method of stop-start use, will be repealed in which some steps and falls again as the rate of new infections and increasing to keep up with the aim of cases to a manageable level for the health system. On April 6, the Austria was the first European country to announce an easing of its quarantine after a downward trend in the growth rate for the registration infections. The government has allowed small shops to open on April 14 and then more shops and malls on social distancing 1 May are the rules of wearing masks of a request from the public like. Denmark has decided to open their block are to start easing of nursery and primary schools from April 15 reopening, like children at a low risk of severe cases of COVID-19 Both Austria and Denmark say that the measures will only further relaxed when cases remain stable. “This will probably be a bit ‘like walking a tightrope,” said Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen. For Smeeth, schools reopening a viable option is to relieve lockdowns because the children administration is easier to manage from 20 to 30 years of age. “With young adults, you can not stop moving in any direction in random combinations of people with all different levels of contact. It ‘s very hard to predict.” For school children, but it would be possible to create a situation where parents bring them to school and back home lead, which means that there is only one change in schools and in children’s homes. There are good options, but an unprecedented means of stopping a global pandemic has ended. “As scientists, we are able to provide all information to the government that we have, but then they guess basically like the audience in a partial easing of restrictions react.”, Says Smeeth. “I envy the politicians now.”
Photo copyright by David Cliff -NurPhoto / Getty Images