A skeptic president. Millions of socially isolated waste him. A health care system overload. These are among the factors that transform Brazil in the near epicenter crown, and perhaps one of the worst-affected countries around the world. Despite the strong performance of almost two months, Brazil continues to increase social distancing measures COVID-19 infection rate. Researchers at Imperial College London predict that this week will be 7,790 deaths, the second highest in the world after the United States, the land of the play or R rate number, the average infected by any person with the virus is 2 . the United States and other major countries affected have expressed their rates of R close to 1 could mean the greatest nation in Latin America barely bigger the world hot spot for infections to be. “My concern is that Brazil is a new 19-COVID epicenter being,” Miguel Nicolelis, one of the most respected scientists in Brazil, which coordinates a committee for the fight against the virus tells TIME. “Despite the serious problems in the United States, the exponential curve of cases and deaths in Brazil suggests that we are not even close to our peak.” Here’s what to know about the severity of the epidemic Brazilian Crown: How many cases Brazil had? So far, Brazil has just recorded more than 200,000 cases and 14,000 deaths. Thursday ‘, announced that it had suffered over 844 deaths from the disease. But after Nicolelis, the infection rate is probably underestimated by a factor of 10 to 12 because of under-reporting and lack of evidence. Brazil is him “exam 20 times lower than that of the US, does not prove at the European level,” he says. The University of Washington provides nearly 90,000 in just eight of Brazil’s 26 states by early August to die. Why still so sharp the numbers go up? All Brazilian states implemented some measures of social distancing in March, was advanced than the spread of the virus less than it was in Europe. But the slow growth of COVID-19 here for several weeks and to dislike isolation measures speech by President Jair Bolsonaro must comply with the restrictions less Brazilians. Starting this week, those respecting the social isolation of 40% of the people who went to 55%, depending on the condition. The land of the majority of the population, concentrated in dense cities, has also helped the spread of the virus. “Brasil everything for the rapid spread of the disease is,” says Carlos Machado, coordinator of the Observatory against COVID-19 at the main Brazilian Fiocruz epidemiology institute. “This would not have happened if effective measures have been taken since the beginning. Brazil adopted half measures, not as firm as they should have been, suffering and the economic impact to be extended. The longer this intermediate state, the greater the economic cost. “Settings are also a problem, Nicolelis notes. “There is an ongoing conflict of the message and strategy and a political conflict, and this is reflected in the Brazilian difficulties for the purchase of equipment such as fans and tests, as well as individual protective equipment, such as masks,” he says. Brazil’s public health system has made 63 tests per 100,000 people by – one of the lowest rates in the region. “Brazil has never had a war; never such a sudden this attack; It is never part in a battle like this. So it’s very difficult for Brazilians to understand the seriousness.” As President Bolsonaro react to the crisis? Brazil Hothead President of the extreme right has been tough from the beginning of the seriousness of COVID-19, going on tour and supporters said the virus had only to say hello if Brazil has surpassed the mark of death 5000, he started his response “bit ‘cold.” “What?” When he passed the 10,000 mark last weekend, he took a tour of well-publicized jet ski on a lagoon Brasília. The crisis has also caused serious instability in the federal government. Health Minister Luiz Henrique Mandetta, as Fired end the epidemic and popular minister Sergio Moro Justice Bolsonaro by disputes after the handle claims of political interference. On Friday, came Mandetta successor to Nelson Pond Bolsonaro after refusing the request of the unproven drug hydroxychloroquine recommended as a treatment. Wherever Bolsonaro protective measures was adopted by hostile state governors, schools have included the suspension of the ban on inter-city buses, and closing shops, bars and beaches – but short of complete lockdowns are generally stopped. Just this week, President gyms and beauty salons decreed as the “core businesses” that could reopen. “From the beginning, Brazil does not have a clear strategy and consistent news of the federal government,” said Nicolelis. “Even with the former Minister of Health, was the message, doubtful and ineffective. Help to the States was minimal, and far from enough.” Opponents Bolsonaro? Bolsonaro has the face of opposition from governors, mayors, the Supreme Court and its ministers. João Doria, the governor of São Paulo, and Wilson Witzel, in the state of Rio de Janeiro, imposed strict separation rules in their states in March and criticized Bolsonaro. As the crisis deepened, lockdowns were in the states of Maranhão, Pará and Ceará introduced. But most of the governors to a complete stop fear, Industrial snap it and create the possibility of social unrest in a country that lives in almost half of the personal hand-to-mouth, a few hundred dollars a month from the informal sector to gain. How is the Brazilian system to manage health care? Not well. Brazil is supposed to handle well-equipped national epidemic. It has 21 seats intensive care beds per 100,000 people, about twice the percentage of those beds in Italy, France and Spain. But they are not evenly distributed geographically or between the public and private sectors. In practice, corruption and inefficiency as well as an effective response Bolsonaro slowed. Eleven states are investigating the possibility that improperly diverted funds were determined million medical equipment. And so the system is overwhelmed quickly. Eight state capitals have ICU occupancy of over 90%, and Rio, there are more than a thousand people waiting for hospital beds. Three emergency hospitals set up in the city to cope with the crisis, are put in only three function. Brazil has already overtaken the United States in the number of health workers who have died. If the cases at present rates continue to climb, the health system is expected to imminent collapse. What is the Brazilian impact on the economy? The IMF forecasts a 5.3% decline for the Brazilian economy in 2020. The number of cars produced in the country fell to its lowest level since 1957. The unemployment rate will meet at least 17%. The expectation is that the only country from the crisis at the beginning of 2022. There is the risk of political instability may be returned with dozens of petitions against impeachment Bolsonaro. “The recovery will be very slow, without government action,” says Laura Carvalho, a professor at the Faculty of Economics at the University of São Paulo. The momentum with which the Minister of Finance Bolsonaro Paulo Guedes may want to cut government spending when they do not fit, he adds. The insistence on a reform program, which aims to reduce the size of the state is anything but an agenda for recovery. “Brazil had just recovered from political and economic crises that have hit hardest in 2015 and 2016 before returning to the ring plane.” If health emergencies overlap with political and extremely precarious economic crisis can create a humanitarian crisis, “he says Machado. “Brazil, where he directs.” How ready are the most vulnerable Brazilians? they are among the most affected communities. When it came, the virus in Brazil, mainly affected rich areas of large cities. But over time it is spread rapidly in large slums and rural areas, do not have the necessary health care. the three most affected communities are all the remote communities of the Amazon rain forest. There indigenous tribes with a lack of immunity are particularly vulnerable. Brazil is the at least it provides financial support despite Bolsonaro moderation. the country is making contingency monthly payments just over $100 to 80 million poor informal workers, will cost the government $26.6 billion through June. The queues gathered outside the state bank branches, waiting for the night to pay. “We have all the elements that made the crisis very seriously in other countries, and we have structural inequalities in income, health, access to sanitation, housing and so on,” says Carvalho. “We were taken from the shock in a very fragile [economic] situation, especially at the base of the pyramid, keine, Schutz mattress is greatly affected … These lines of people in front desks control the spread of the virus.” Image rights Felipe Dana-AP
We’re not even close to our peak yet. ‘Brazil is likely to be overwhelmed by an epidemic coronavirus
