Because more testing does not explain the COVID-19 increased in several new US hotspots

Because more testing does not explain the COVID-19 increased in several new US hotspots

Almost from COVID-19 has been recognized by experts in public health teams like those at Johns Hopkins University to collect the heroic work and to harmonize the information from dozens of sources every day to make sense of the spreading pandemic. Despite all efforts, these figures were not a certainty, especially as a reliable test for the virus in the early days were limited in many places due to the slow and error-plagued rollout. This has led many to speculate that the actual number of infections was as it seemed much higher on the paper; Early research suggested (and it did not fully confirmed) that the virus could infect a person and then switch to another carrier while causing only mild symptoms, and in some cases none at all. These asymptomatic persons was unlikely, especially in the first few months than ever to take the test. Fast forward to the present, and the American public feels even sure if it was known of cases and death rates are correct. But today these uncertainties are driven obfuscation-targeted mainly through accidental or politicians in an attempt to justify the US Bankruptcy COVID-19 to reduce prices in recent weeks. The test is much more widespread than it was a month ago, how the data is reported on the number of tests (the latter thanks to the COVID monitoring project). At the same time, many states report an increase in new infections, reversing occasionally been encouraging downward trend. The White House has suggested that these new peaks if the daily rate are due years he feels necessarily detected in more and more cases. But many experts disagree on public health, arguing that this is actually a sign of a second wave of US organic affecting more tests appear actually more cases. However, if the common test is the whole reason for the increase of cases, it would be the percentage of positive tests expect to go, or at least remain stable. Instead, the percentage rises in a number of states. Nowhere is this more evident than in Arizona, Texas and Florida, where you will see a marked increase in test percentage that are positive back, even if the total number of tests is growing: “I think it’s a real increase the number of cases, not just for their consideration. If it’s just because of the test, we would not have seen the prices we see. and the relaxing prices are approximate, “says Murray Côté, associate professor of health policy and management at Texas a & M. Côté he says that their models that saw the pandemic does not suggest in the summer braking late, when most Texans are unlikely to change their behavior, ‘curb the spread of the virus. In Arizona, there are two main reasons, the increase in new cases per day should not be attributed to an increase in test, said Dr. Joe Gerald, director of health policy and management at the University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health. First, the uptick 10 to 14 days after the end of the stay-at-home is the contract and to have begun 14 days of the state is the period during which health experts agree that usually appear COVID-19 symptoms . This is a good sign rather than the upward trend on the status of the initial attempts of re-opening is connected. Secondly, hospital admissions rise together to the positive overall number of cases, says Gerald. In theory had to check when you try just more people with symptoms less severe COVID-19 (earlier would be undermined if the tests were only available for the most serious cases), and hospital admissions should have been on the decline, or at least more stable. This is not the case, however. As for Florida, where the increase in cases of increase in the percentage of positive cases exactly mirrors that sense, as the total volume of the test increases, the population of infected people is increasing and a clear sign that the virus is spreading faster than it was last week. The increase in the examination of state in the case of some of the increase can be explained, but can not fully explain the number of tests comes back positive, said Dr. Aileen M. Marty, a professor at Florida International University, who served as infectious disease consultant at the local, national and international. Marty says she was harassed, that many people do not seem in their state to take seriously social distancing, despite the growing number of cases. “We see people who do not wear masks, do not want social distance, have a false sense that the pandemic is over, when the numbers are actually only increase,” says Marty. For Gerald, there is a great takeaway from the growing number of cases, “I do not think I believe without reason that if we do nothing, it will just go away. I do not think we put our heads in the sand and pretend that we do not both, and we’ll wake up in a magical way and will be gone, “he says. “If we continue with our policy, as they are today, I look at the conditions get worse.”