Fall coronavirus Testing numbers obscure the reality of the US Pandemic

Fall coronavirus Testing numbers obscure the reality of the US Pandemic

July was devastating to the US after the country had appeared to smooth the curve at the end of spring, new daily cases of COVID-19 has skyrocketed, how to rotate the season, peaking at 20.5 per 100,000 people, on July 18, according to data collected by the Johns Hopkins University (JHU). After a little ‘back and forth, some of the limitations, many US local officials resurgence see again, the spread of the virus intended to limit that had been raised. He seemed to have paid these decisions on the face of it: Although recently the United States was 5,000,000 Total confirmed cases, it took longer to go from four million to five million than it did (15 days) (17 days) going from 3 to 4 million. And in the last two weeks, the daily per capita rate case in the US is like a day of four equals a decline of about 13,100 new cases. The reality is, however, might not be so rosy. This is because in the same time frame, the COVID for-19 in the US test is also dropped to almost the same speed. Just over two weeks ago, about 820,000 new tests were administered to the day after the COVID monitoring project. By August 12, it had fallen to about 710,000: When the US president Donald Trump is getting ready for the 2020 election cycle, has been careful to minimize the impact of COVID-19 under his leadership, largely by resting on any point in the conversation or data that suggests that the epidemic was of which he exaggerated as his political opponents appearance. His favorite: the only reason why the case numbers in the United States are high, because the country is testing more. Here’s the thing: if more evidence that more cases that, by itself, does not mean a problem does not exist. The one showing a tendency to prove it would be necessary to ensure that, as we test more people, the percentage drops of positive tests. But this really was not. increases, in fact, in the last two months in test rates, thus positive rates. It fell to test the rate of … fake positive rate: This is a bit ‘complicated, but it is important to stay here with me. Most of the experts who observed the pandemic since the beginning believe that soon, we do not understand the full extent of the spread of the virus, because we test only those who were sick. But now we know that many people with the virus, may not show symptoms whatsoever, then move on. If it is a robust and easily accessible test system, these cases are asymptomatic and added to the numbers. But once the tests become inaccessible again-that it seems to take place directly in the US we are now back to where we were before: the cases probably missing left and right. Read more: It ‘Hunger Games Laboratory Why do some people weeks approaches for their COVID-19 test results pending As fall, managers at all levels-federal elected officials responsible for the lives of millions of parents responsible for the lives of one or two is almost impossible to have to make decisions to live pre-vaccine world, such as in a post-pandemic. Rising in the US tests will be crucial if we are even partially informed these decisions. This could mean, as Dr. Ashish K. Jha, director of the Global Health Institute at Harvard, proposed the addition of cheaper and faster ways to test the overall mix (although these species are less accurate than the costly and species ). It could mean some use of “testing pool”, takes the genetics of a group of samples, combined them into a kind of mega-trial, this is what the test is sent. And the clear contempt administration Trump for leading-e, test abdication of responsibility for a robust test system-it maintenance could really mean governors and mayors on this issue a step when leaders of Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Ohio and Virginia (three Democrats and three Republicans) have recently when her with a band together to buy provided three million tests. And ‘likely too early to say safely that if the United States truly stabilized, because the surface numbers appear propose. But now declared victory in a time when many people do not get tests or face almost two weeks late for the results is like the lights and the claims that uprooted to an infestation of cockroaches.